Two sides still searching for a Championship win after two rounds meet at the Racecourse Ground. Wrexham have drawn both league outings and scored just twice in five matches across all competitions. Birmingham drew with Bristol City and held Sheffield United to a goalless draw in their opening Championship fixtures, arriving with two absentees in Buchanan and Gardner-Hickman.
The numbers point firmly low. Wrexham produced zero over-2.5 matches in their last five and scored in only 2 of those 5 games. The head-to-head record across four meetings shows just 1 over-2.5 result. The model assigns an 84% probability to under 2.5 goals, and the market offers 1.80-1.83, which represents genuine value against that implied edge.
Under 2.5 goals at 1.80-1.83 is the call. Both teams to score at 1.73 is the riskier alternative, supported by BTTS landing in 3 of 4 head-to-heads, though Wrexham's attacking output makes it a stretch.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 12.04.26 | Championship | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 03.10.25 | Championship | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 23.01.25 | League One | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 16.09.24 | League One | 3–1 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service