Wingate and Finchley host Hemel Hempstead in this FA Cup quarter-final replay, three days after the sides drew 1-1 at Hemel. Wingate arrive with a mixed five-game run: two wins, two draws and a defeat, scoring and conceding eight apiece. Hemel have not won in five outings, picking up four draws, and have scored just three times in that spell.
The numbers point firmly toward goals at both ends. BTTS landed in three of Wingate's last five matches and in three of Hemel's last five. Hemel have conceded in four of their last five, while Wingate have scored in four of their last five. The only head-to-head on record ended 1-1, with both sides on the scoresheet.
With no odds supplied the price is unavailable, but the case for BTTS Yes is the most coherent read of the data. Both sides carry a goal threat and both have defensive frailty. Replay pressure may open the game further. Back both teams to score.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 19.09.26 | FA Cup | 1–1 | U2.5 |
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