West Brom arrive into this fixture on the back of two straight defeats, losing 3-1 at Middlesbrough in their last Championship outing. They have kept zero clean sheets in their past five games across all competitions, conceding in every one. Charlton, by contrast, have won four of their last five, including a 2-1 away win at West Ham, and carry genuine confidence into this midweek trip.
The head-to-head record leans away: West Brom have won none of their last two meetings with Charlton, losing one and drawing one, and have scored just once in those two fixtures. Charlton arrive with four absentees but their core XI has been productive. Model probabilities put Charlton at 55% to win, against just 21% for the hosts, a significant gap that the 4.65-4.75 price does not fully reflect.
Charlton DNB at roughly 3.45 is the main play. The hosts' defensive fragility is real, and the visitors have scored in all five recent games. Back Charlton Draw No Bet at 3.45.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 24.02.26 | Championship | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 04.11.25 | Championship | 1–0 | U2.5 |
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