Werder Bremen head into Matchday 4 with five first-team absentees and a Bundesliga record of one win, one draw and one defeat. They were thumped 4-1 at Freiburg as recently as late August. Augsburg, by contrast, have won three of their last five across all competitions, including a 4-1 demolition of Eintracht Frankfurt away from home. The visitors carry real momentum into this fixture. The head-to-head record from Werder's perspective reads one win, two draws and two defeats in the last five meetings. Augsburg have also kept two clean sheets in their last five outings. The model puts the away win probability at 67 per cent, well above what the 2.80-2.84 available implies. Augsburg DNB at around 2.10 is the value play here. Bremen's injury list and poor home h2h record tip the balance firmly toward the visitors. Back Augsburg to win or collect on the draw-no-bet.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 02.05.26 | Bundesliga | 1–3 | O2.5 |
| 20.12.25 | Bundesliga | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 19.01.25 | Bundesliga | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 24.08.24 | Bundesliga | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 27.04.24 | Bundesliga | 0–3 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service