Villarreal walk into this La Liga round 5 fixture winless in their last five across all competitions, shipping 11 goals with zero clean sheets. Betis, by contrast, have won four of their last five, including a stunning home win over Real Madrid, and they travel to El Madrigal with genuine belief. Three absentees for Betis are noted, but the squad depth is not in question given recent results.
The numbers back the visitors hard. Betis kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 outings and conceded in only 2 of those 5. Villarreal have conceded in all 5 of their last games and failed to keep a single clean sheet. The head-to-head shows Betis winning both away trips in the last five meetings, taking 4 of the 5 games over 2.5 goals.
At 3.6 for the Betis win, the market is undervaluing a side that has beaten Real Madrid and won at Valencia in recent weeks. Villarreal's defensive collapse makes them fragile hosts. Back Betis to take three points.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 17.01.26 | La Liga | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 18.10.25 | La Liga | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 13.04.25 | La Liga | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 15.12.24 | La Liga | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 10.03.24 | La Liga | 2–3 | O2.5 |
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