The Laguna side arrive at this Serie A Round 7 fixture having lost all five of their last matches, shipping 14 goals in the process - a squad in freefall. Napoli, meanwhile, carry a mixed but more solid record, with two wins and two clean sheets in their last five across all competitions.
The head-to-head is tight and low-scoring: Venezia have scored zero goals in both recent meetings against Napoli, conceding once across those two games. Venezia have also failed to score in all five of their last five head-to-head matches combined, while the model puts Napoli's win probability at 83%. Six injured players for the home side further deepen the crisis.
Napoli at 1.75 (bet365) is the call. The visitors are not in perfect shape either, but they face a Venezia side with no wins, no clean sheets and six absentees. Back Napoli to win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 16.03.25 | Serie A | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 29.12.24 | Serie A | 1–0 | U2.5 |
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