Västerås arrive at round 14 having won two of their last five competitive outings, including a 3-1 away victory over Halmstad. The home side score freely - 13 goals across those five matches - and have not kept a clean sheet, but the volume of attacking output keeps them firmly in control against limited opposition. Örgryte, by contrast, have not won any of their last five, conceding 14 goals and failing to score in two of those games.
The model puts the home win probability at 78%, against a 1X2 price of 1.50-1.53. Örgryte scored in only 3 of their last 5 matches, while Västerås conceded in all 5 of theirs - so goals are likely, but the direction is clear. DNB HOME at around 1.21 (bet365 AH0) removes the draw risk without sacrificing much value.
Main tip: DNB Home at 1.21. The model's 78% home-win read and Örgryte's winless five-game run justify a cautious but firm position on the hosts. Anton Fagerström is sidelined for Västerås, Rasmus Alm for Örgryte.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 24.10.25 | Superettan | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 08.04.25 | Superettan | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 04.11.23 | Superettan | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 10.04.23 | Superettan | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 27.08.22 | Superettan | 1–1 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service