Vasco arrive unbeaten in their last 5 games (2W 3D), conceding just 2 goals across those fixtures and keeping 3 clean sheets. Olimpia come in poor shape: 4 losses in 5, scoring in only 2 of those 5 outings, with 8 goals conceded. The head-to-head from this same Sudamericana campaign shows both sides can score, but Vasco crushed Olimpia 3-0 at home in May.
The model puts Vasco's win-or-draw probability at 72%, against implied odds probability of roughly 65% on the 1X at 1.18. Olimpia have scored in just 2 of 5 recent games and carry an injury absence. Vasco's defensive record at home is solid, with 3 clean sheets in 5.
DC 1X at 1.18 is compressed but backed by a 7-point model edge. The safer play is Vasco not to lose this knockout leg at home.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 21.05.26 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 3–1 | O2.5 |
| 01.05.26 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 3–0 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service