Vardar enter this Conference League qualifier on the back of a 0-2 home defeat to KuPS, their only competitive fixture of the summer. Three wins from five across all games, but that loss underlines a side still finding shape. Riga FC arrive in better rhythm: four wins from their last five, including a 3-2 European result against Ararat-Armenia, and three successive victories before this trip.
The numbers point one way. Riga have scored in 4 of 5 recent outings and conceded in 4 of 5 - their last five games produced 4 matches over 2.5. Vardar's five-game sample shows 2 over-2.5 results, but they shipped goals in 3 of those 5. Combined, both defences have leaked freely, and Riga's 12 goals scored in five games is the standout figure. No h2h data exists to qualify the picture.
Over 2.5 goals at 1.70 is the play. Riga's attacking output and both sides' defensive exposure make a low-scoring night unlikely. The price sits at fair value given the evidence.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service