Mestalla hosts a Valencia side that has won just once in its last five league outings, shipping 11 goals in that stretch. Athletic Bilbao arrive in a different universe: unbeaten in five, with four clean sheets and only one goal conceded across those games. Six first-team absentees on the home bench - including Danjuma, Sadiq and Diakhaby - strip Valencia of firepower and defensive cover they can ill afford to lose. The head-to-head backs the visitors too: Valencia have won only 2 of the last 5 meetings, with both sides keeping clean sheets in 4 of those 5 clashes, pointing to a tight, low-scoring contest. Bilbao conceded in just 1 of their last 5 games; Valencia scored in only 3 of theirs. The model puts away-win probability at 47 % against a market price of 2.20 - that is value. A disciplined Basque side with momentum, travelling to a fragile rival missing key men. Back Bilbao at 2.20.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 10.05.26 | La Liga | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 04.02.26 | Copa del Rey | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 20.09.25 | La Liga | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 18.05.25 | La Liga | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 28.08.24 | La Liga | 1–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service