USA arrive here off a turbulent World Cup campaign, winning three and losing two of their last five, including a 1-4 hammering by Belgium. Peru, operating in friendly competition only, have mixed results: two wins, a draw and two losses, conceding eight goals in five outings. Neither side is in a position to claim defensive solidity heading into this group-stage friendly.
The numbers tell a consistent story. USA scored in all five of their last five matches and conceded in three. Peru scored in four of five and conceded in four of five. Across both squads, BTTS landed in three of the last five games for each side. Over 2.5 goals hit in three of five for both USA and Peru. With key absences on both sides, defensive cover is further thinned.
No odds are available, but the data points clearly to BTTS YES as the main tip. Both teams have shown they can score and both have shown they cannot keep clean sheets consistently. This is a 3-confidence play in a friendly context, but the underlying numbers are hard to ignore.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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