USA arrive on a three-game home winning streak with 11 goals scored across those fixtures against Mexico, Chile and Peru. Canada have won three of their last five but conceded five goals in that span and travel here missing four named players through injury, including defensive options Bombito and Johnston. The context is post-World Cup friendlies, so take the form with appropriate weight, but the directional signal is clear enough.
USA scored in all 5 of their last 5 and went over 2.5 goals in 4 of those. Canada kept 3 clean sheets in 5 but managed only 5 goals themselves. The USA DNB sits at 1.40 (bet365/Marathon), a price that reflects genuine home favouritism without asking you to absorb a draw at 3.40.
USA Draw No Bet at 1.40 is the play. If the USA win, you collect. If it draws, stake returns. Canada's injury list and USA's recent goal volume make the home side hard to oppose here. Confidence is moderate given the friendly context.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 22.03.25 | Concacaf Nations League | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 07.09.24 | Friendlies | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 19.06.23 | Concacaf Nations League | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 30.01.22 | WC Qualification Concacaf | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 06.09.21 | WC Qualification Concacaf | 1–1 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service