Levski Sofia arrive in Romania with a 1-0 lead from the first leg, unbeaten in five matches and with a squad free of injuries. Craiova, meanwhile, were torn apart 1-5 by Dinamo Bucuresti just days ago and carry two absentees into this must-win tie. The Romanians need a win; the Bulgarians simply need not to lose by two or more.
Craiova scored in 4 of their last 5 games but failed to find the net in the first leg. Levski have scored in all 5 of their recent outings and conceded in 3 of 5. The totals market sits at 2.00 for Over 2.5, reflecting genuine uncertainty about the volume of goals.
Levski's DNB price at 2.45 is the play. They hold the tie advantage, face a host who just shipped five at home, and arrive healthy and confident. That price rewards the risk of a draw or away win, and the logic is hard to argue with. For the alt, take Levski DNB at 2.45 or back Over 2.5 at 2.00 as the steadier companion.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 22.07.26 | UEFA Champions League | 1–0 | U2.5 |
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