Univ. Craiova arrive in decent shape, with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, including a Europa League win over KuPS. Ararat-Armenia are the more in-form side: 4 wins from 5, scoring 10 goals and conceding 7 in that run. Both squads have shown they can be opened up.
The numbers are clear. Craiova scored in 4 of 5 and conceded in 4 of 5. Ararat scored in 4 of 5 and conceded in 4 of 5. BTTS landed in 3 of 5 for each team. Ararat hit over 2.5 in 3 of their last 5. Combined, these sides averaged 3.6 goals per game across their recent outings.
The model points firmly to a high-scoring night. Over 2.5 goals at 1.73 (bet365) is the pick. Both defences leak regularly and neither side is cautious going forward. Confidence sits at 3.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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