Santa Fe's Estadio 15 de Abril hosts a clash of wildly different rhythms. Union have been a fireworks show lately, scoring 10 goals across their last five outings, but they have also shipped 6 and kept zero clean sheets. Instituto, meanwhile, have arrived in town carrying something rare in Argentine football right now: five consecutive clean sheets in their last five matches, winning four of them.
The numbers pull in opposite directions. Union scored in 4 of their last 5 and conceded in all 5, while Instituto conceded in none of their last 5. The visitors head here unbeaten in their last 5 (W4 D1), and three Instituto players are sidelined with injury. Still, Union's defensive frailty is a gift, and Instituto only need one goal - something they found in 4 of 5 recent games.
Instituto at 3.00 (bet365) is the bigger price I want. A side that has not conceded in five straight, arriving against a leaky Union defence, deserves more respect than the odds suggest. Back Instituto to win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 01.03.26 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 16.08.25 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0–4 | O2.5 |
| 14.02.25 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 19.05.24 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 06.02.23 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0–2 | U2.5 |
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