Ciudad Universitaria is the stage, and Pumas arrive having beaten both Toluca and Juarez in Liga MX this season. Necaxa, meanwhile, have won just once in their last five and conceded in every single one of those games.
The numbers back the home side hard. Pumas' model probability sits at 60% for a home win, while Necaxa have shipped 11 goals in five outings. The one head-to-head on record ended 1-0 to Pumas, with Necaxa failing to score. Sebastian Cordova is absent for the hosts, but Necaxa are missing Kevin Rosero too.
At 1.95, Pumas HOME is the play. The visitors' defensive record is a disaster and they have zero draws in recent form. This is a price worth taking with both hands.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 07.03.26 | Liga MX | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 11.08.25 | Liga MX | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 12.01.25 | Liga MX | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 14.09.24 | Liga MX | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 01.02.24 | Liga MX | 2–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service