The Dacia Arena hosts a Coppa Italia last-16 tie between a home side riding a four-win run and visitors who have shipped 12 goals in five outings. Udinese already cleared the Coppa hurdle against Padova this month, while Venezia limped in off back-to-back Serie A defeats against Lecce and AC Milan without scoring. Five key Udinese players are sidelined, but the squad depth is clearly there. Venezia have zero clean sheets in their last five and conceded in all five of those games. Both head-to-head meetings ended with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals, yet Udinese's defensive record at home - three clean sheets in five - gives them a real structural edge. Udinese at 1.90-1.95 is the call. A team in form, at home, in a cup tie against opponents shipping goals for fun. Back the home win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 01.02.25 | Serie A | 3–2 | O2.5 |
| 30.10.24 | Serie A | 3–2 | O2.5 |
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