A Serie A side hosting a Serie B outfit in a Coppa Italia first round - the stage is set for a comfortable home evening at the Bluenergy Stadium. Udinese arrive with back-to-back friendly wins, beating Nottingham and Barcelona 1-0, while Padova have shipped 13 goals in five recent outings and kept just one clean sheet.
The numbers point one way. Padova conceded in 4 of their last 5 matches and have shipped 13 goals across that run. Udinese kept 2 clean sheets in 5 friendlies and scored in 4 of them. The market prices Udinese at 1.36-1.37 to win, with AH -1 available at 1.57-1.60 - a price that reflects genuine two-goal margin potential against leaky visitors.
The verdict: Udinese AH -1 at 1.57. A category gap, a defensive Padova who cannot stop conceding, and a home side that has found its winning groove. That price is worth the swing.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 25.03.24 | Club Friendlies | 2–3 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service