Two non-league sides meet again in the FA Cup quarter-finals, three days after a 1-1 draw at Merthyr. Truro arrive with no clean sheet in their last five matches, conceding in all five. Merthyr have kept two clean sheets in five but scored in four of those games, showing they carry a threat going forward.
The numbers point clearly toward goals at both ends. Truro have seen BTTS land in four of their last five outings. Merthyr have hit BTTS in three of five. In the only head-to-head on record, both sides scored. Neither team has looked defensively solid enough to shut the other out in a one-off cup tie.
With no odds available, the market price is unknown, but the bet is BTTS Yes. Both squads are evenly matched, short on clean sheets, and already showed they can hurt each other. Confidence is modest given the small sample, but the case is consistent.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 19.09.26 | FA Cup | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 11.03.23 | Non League Premier | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 21.01.23 | Non League Premier | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 03.09.22 | FA Cup | 5–2 | O2.5 |
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