Troyes arrive at round 7 in dire shape: 0 wins, 4 defeats and just 2 goals scored in their last 5 matches. They have kept the ball out of their own net in only 1 of those 5 games and failed to score in 4 of 5. Lens, by contrast, have scored in 4 of their last 5 outings and carry genuine firepower into this fixture.
The model puts Lens at 70% probability of winning, against a market price of 1.83. Head-to-head, Troyes have won 0 of 4 meetings, conceding 8 goals while scoring just 4. Lens also hold a DNB price of 1.38, reflecting near-consensus backing from the books.
With Troyes missing five players and showing a -10 goal difference over five games, the Lens away win at 1.83 is the clearest value on the board. Back Lens to win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 04.02.26 | Coupe de France | 2–4 | O2.5 |
| 28.01.23 | Ligue 1 | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 09.09.22 | Ligue 1 | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 13.08.19 | Coupe de la Ligue | 1–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service