Tottenham open their home Premier League campaign missing van de Ven, Maddison, Sarr Pape and Simons, a brutal injury list that hollows out both defence and midfield. Their only top-flight outing this season ended 0-3 at Brentford. Newcastle, without Burn, Livramento and Joelinton, drew 2-2 with Liverpool on matchday one and have not kept a single clean sheet across their last five matches in any competition.
The numbers point one way. Newcastle have seen both teams score in all five of their last five games. Tottenham have conceded in four of their last five. In the last five head-to-heads, Spurs have zero wins, zero clean sheets and BTTS landed four times. Over 2.5 goals has gone in four of Tottenham's last five and in all five of Newcastle's last five.
With both squads threadbare at the back and goals flowing freely in every recent outing, BTTS YES at 1.57 is the clear play. The 1X2 market at 2.25-2.90 is too tight to force, but goals from both ends look a near-certainty here.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 10.02.26 | Premier League | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 02.12.25 | Premier League | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 29.10.25 | League Cup | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 03.08.25 | Club Friendlies | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 03.08.25 | Club Friendlies | 1–1 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service