Tottenham arrive at this fixture with one win from five across all competitions, having conceded in 4 of those 5 outings. Three attacking absences - Maddison, Simons and Savinho - strip what little creative threat they had. Everton, by contrast, are unbeaten in five: 2 wins, 3 draws, zero defeats, and they have scored in all 5 of those matches.
The head-to-head numbers favour Spurs on paper - 2 wins from 2, zero goals conceded - but both samples predate Tottenham's current collapse in form and personnel. The model assigns Everton an 82% win probability. Tottenham's DNB price sits at 1.45, offering nothing; Everton's DNB at 2.62 is where the edge lies.
Everton Draw No Bet at 2.62 is the play. If the game ends level you get your stake back; if Everton win, you collect at a price that reflects far more than an 18% implied probability. Confidence is measured given early-season variance.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 24.05.26 | Premier League | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 26.10.25 | Premier League | 0–3 | O2.5 |
| 19.01.25 | Premier League | 3–2 | O2.5 |
| 24.08.24 | Premier League | 4–0 | O2.5 |
| 03.02.24 | Premier League | 2–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service