Toluca opened the Liga MX Apertura with a clean-sheet win away at Chivas, while UNAM Pumas were hammered 3-0 at home by Pachuca on matchday one. The Diablos Rojos head into this one with momentum; Pumas look shot of confidence and goals.
The head-to-head numbers back Toluca hard: two wins and three draws in the last five meetings, zero defeats. Pumas have scored in only 2 of their last 5 outings and conceded in 3. Toluca scored in 3 of 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. The h2h also shows both teams have scored in 4 of those 5 clashes - a pattern worth noting for the alt.
Toluca DNB at 1.23 is tight but honest insurance on an unbeaten h2h record and a Pumas side that looks toothless right now. The price reflects the favourite's status without asking you to sweat a draw. Back Toluca DNB.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 04.03.26 | Liga MX | 2–3 | O2.5 |
| 17.08.25 | Liga MX | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 30.01.25 | Liga MX | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 06.10.24 | Liga MX | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 18.03.24 | Liga MX | 3–0 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service