Tigres UANL host Vancouver Whitecaps in the Leagues Cup group stage, carrying a 1W-1D-3L record across their last five and a leaky defence that has conceded in 4 of those 5 outings. Vancouver arrive in worse shape: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last five, having also conceded in 4 of 5. Both squads carry four injury absences each, limiting attacking options further.
The model puts Under 2.5 goals at 88% probability. Vancouver have gone over 2.5 in just 2 of their last 5 matches, Tigres in 3 of 5. The head-to-head record from two 2024 Concacaf meetings shows only 1 over-2.5 result in 2 games. BTTS landed in just 1 of those 2 h2h fixtures, and the model prices BTTS-YES at only 7%.
Verdict: Under 2.5 goals at 2.35 (bet365) is the main play. The model's 88% implies fair value well below 1.14, making 2.35 a significant edge. Confidence is capped at 3 given Tigres' own recent high-scoring losses.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 15.02.24 | Concacaf Champions Cup | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 08.02.24 | Concacaf Champions Cup | 1–1 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service