Switzerland arrive in devastating form: five wins from five recent outings, 12 goals scored and only 2 conceded. North Macedonia, by contrast, have lost four of their last five, netting zero goals across those five matches. Five absentees on the Swiss side add a small wrinkle, but the gulf in class remains enormous. The model sits at 89% for Over 2.5 goals. Two inputs drive that number: Switzerland have gone over 2.5 in 4 of their last 5 matches, while North Macedonia have conceded in 4 of their last 5. The visitors have scored in 0 of their last 5, so BTTS is off the table. The model also prices no-BTTS at 97%, consistent with a clean-sheet win for the hosts. Over 2.5 goals at 1.40 (bet365) is the value play here. The Swiss are simply too strong for a Macedonia side that cannot find the net.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 26.09.26 | UEFA Nations League | 0–3 | O2.5 |
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