Sunderland arrive at this fixture with a modest Premier League record so far - one win, one draw, one loss in three top-flight outings - and Habib Diarra absent through injury. Arsenal, by contrast, have not dropped a point in five competitive matches, beating Chelsea, Aston Villa and Napoli along the way while conceding only once across that entire run.
The numbers tighten the case further. Arsenal kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5 games and conceded in just 1 of those 5. In the two head-to-head meetings on record, Sunderland failed to score in one and kept zero clean sheets in both. Three Arsenal absentees in defence - Mosquera, Saliba and Timber - add some uncertainty, but the underlying picture still points firmly one way.
Arsenal Draw No Bet at 1.14 (bet365) is tight but structurally sound. The model puts Arsenal winning or drawing at 92 percent, and Sunderland have not kept a clean sheet in either recent meeting. Back Arsenal DNB.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 07.02.26 | Premier League | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 08.11.25 | Premier League | 2–2 | O2.5 |
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