Stuttgart arrive at round 4 having lost two of their last five across all competitions, shipping nine goals in that span. Six first-team players are sidelined, leaving the hosts stretched at both ends. Dortmund, by contrast, have won all five of their recent outings and conceded just four times, keeping three clean sheets.
The model puts Dortmund's win probability at 78 percent against a market price of 2.80. In the head-to-head record from Stuttgart's perspective, Dortmund have taken four points from the last two meetings at this venue. Stuttgart's defence has conceded in four of their last five matches across all competitions.
At 2.80, Dortmund represent clear value. The DNB price of 2.08 offers a safer entry for those who want insurance against a draw. Back Dortmund to win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 04.04.26 | Bundesliga | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 22.11.25 | Bundesliga | 3–3 | O2.5 |
| 08.02.25 | Bundesliga | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 22.09.24 | Bundesliga | 5–1 | O2.5 |
| 06.04.24 | Bundesliga | 0–1 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service