Stoke arrive into this Championship round-4 fixture having lost all three of their league games, conceding ten goals across their last five outings in all competitions. The Potters have kept just one clean sheet in that span, and their home form offers no shelter - they fell 1-2 to Swansea at the Bet365 Stadium on the opening weekend. Norwich, meanwhile, have three wins from five across all competitions and put four past Burnley last time out in the league. Four absentees thin their squad but not critically. The head-to-head record over the last two meetings gives Stoke one win and one draw, with zero goals conceded in that pair, yet the current form gap is hard to ignore. The model puts Norwich at 70 percent to win. Stoke's defensive frailty and Norwich's attacking output - 11 goals scored in five recent games - make the away side the logical selection. Norwich DNB at 1.65 is the main play. For a higher-variance angle, back BTTS YES at 1.67 given both sides have seen both teams score in four of their last five outings.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 04.01.26 | Championship | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 27.09.25 | Championship | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 22.02.25 | Championship | 4–2 | O2.5 |
| 19.10.24 | Championship | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 16.03.24 | Championship | 0–3 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service