Stoke arrive at round 10 in sharp form: four wins from their last five Championship outings, scoring in all five and conceding in four. Middlesbrough are harder to pin down, picking up two wins and two draws in four Championship matches but leaking ten goals in their last five across all competitions. The head-to-head is thin, just two recent meetings, with Stoke taking one defeat and one draw.
The numbers point firmly toward goals. Both sides scored in 4 of their last 5 respectively, and both conceded in 4 of 5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Stoke's last 5 and 4 of Middlesbrough's last 5. The model puts the probability of both teams scoring at 69% and over 2.5 goals also at 69%. BTTS YES is available at 1.57-1.62.
The verdict: back BTTS YES at 1.62 (WilliamHill). The attacking output from both sides is consistent, the defensive records are porous, and the price offers value against a 69% model estimate. Alt: Stoke DNB at 2.75 if you want a stake on the hosts' four-win streak.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 21.01.26 | Championship | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 30.09.25 | Championship | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 25.02.25 | Championship | 1–3 | O2.5 |
| 28.09.24 | Championship | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 27.08.24 | League Cup | 0–5 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service