St. Liege open Round 3 at home after back-to-back league draws, shipping five goals across those two fixtures. RAAL arrive winless in five, having conceded in 3 of their last 5 outings and lost both First Division A games so far. The only head-to-head on record ended 1-1, with both sides scoring.
Two numbers drive the model. St. Liege have kept zero clean sheets in 5 matches and conceded in all 5. Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of their last 5 games. The model puts Over 2.5 at 84% - well clear of the 2.05 implied probability of 49%. BTTS sits at 75%, with both sides scoring in 3 of each team's last 5.
Over 2.5 goals at 2.05 is the call. The price is generous against an 84% model read. St. Liege's leaky defence and RAAL's willingness to trade goals make the total the cleanest angle here. Confidence: 3.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 27.02.26 | First Division A | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 26.07.25 | First Division A | 0–2 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service