St Josephs arrive at this second leg having lost the first 0-2 in Dublin, and their recent form offers no grounds for optimism. Across their last five matches they managed just one win, conceding eight goals while keeping only two clean sheets. Bohemians, by contrast, have won four of their last five, scoring ten and conceding just two - keeping four clean sheets in that run.
The numbers tilt heavily toward the visitors. Bohemians have scored in all five of their last five matches; St Josephs scored in only three of five. The sole head-to-head on record ended 0-2 to Bohemians, with the Gibraltar side failing to register. The Draw No Bet market prices St Josephs at 4.15 and Bohemians at 1.22 - the latter reflects a side with a two-goal aggregate cushion and superior form.
Bohemians DNB at 1.22 is thin but structurally sound given the tie context and form gap. The more interesting price is BTTS No at 2.00 - Bohemians have conceded in only one of their last five, and St Josephs have failed to score in two of five. That is where the value sits.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 09.07.26 | UEFA Conference League | 2–0 | U2.5 |
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