Sparta Prague arrive at this UCL third qualifying round having won just 2 of their last 5 games, losing three, with first-choice goalkeeper Peter Vindahl among three players sidelined through injury. Their pre-season has been unconvincing, conceding 10 goals across those five outings. Lyon, by contrast, have won 3 of their last 5 and carry no injury concerns into the tie.
The numbers favour the visitors. Lyon's DNB price of 1.53 (10Bet) reflects a side that has scored in 3 of 5 recent games and conceded in 4, showing attacking intent. Sparta conceded in 4 of their last 5 too, while keeping just 1 clean sheet. Both sides produced over 2.5 goals in the majority of recent matches, but Lyon's superior win rate and clean squad tip the balance.
Lyon Draw No Bet at 1.53 is the call. Sparta's defensive issues and injury list make backing them at 3.0 hard to justify. Lyon to progress without the draw safety net removed is the cleaner angle here.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
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