Sirius arrive at this Allsvenskan round-19 fixture with a mixed five-game run: two wins, one draw, two defeats, conceding nine times. Malmo carry four confirmed absentees including Pontus Jansson, a significant defensive loss, and their own form is equally uneven - three wins and two losses in five, with no clean sheet on the road in that stretch. Both sides have been porous enough to make a cautious defensive read hard to justify.
The numbers that matter most sit in the head-to-head column. Sirius have won three of the last five meetings and both teams scored in four of those five. The model prices a home win at 71 percent, well above the implied 52-53 percent in the 1.90-1.91 market. BTTS has landed in four of five h2h clashes and in three of Malmo's last five across all competitions.
The value call is BTTS YES at 1.44-1.50. Four absences weaken Malmo's backline, Sirius scored in four of their last five, and this fixture has a proven habit of producing goals at both ends. Back it at 1.50 with bet365.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 23.04.26 | Allsvenskan | 2–3 | O2.5 |
| 05.10.25 | Allsvenskan | 5–1 | O2.5 |
| 18.04.25 | Allsvenskan | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 27.07.24 | Allsvenskan | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 19.07.24 | Allsvenskan | 3–4 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service