Sirius arrive at round 21 with a mixed run of two wins and three defeats in their last five, yet the context flatters them: both losses at home came against Malmo and Hacken, two of the division's stronger sides. Degerfors, meanwhile, have lost their last two Allsvenskan away fixtures without scoring, and carry the absence of Juhani Pikkarainen into this trip. The model puts Sirius at an 80% chance of victory.
The head-to-head record, from Sirius's perspective, reads two wins, two draws and one defeat in five meetings. Crucially, Sirius won the earlier 2026 Allsvenskan fixture 3-0. Degerfors have kept just two clean sheets in their last five and scored in only three of those games. Sirius's Draw No Bet price of 1.15 (bet365 ah0_1) reflects the short price but the model's implied edge over the raw home odds is real.
The main play is Sirius Draw No Bet at 1.15. Tight, yes, but an 80% home win probability against a side winless away in the league recently justifies the stake. For those wanting more air, Sirius AH -1 at 1.65 is the alternative.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 04.04.26 | Allsvenskan | 0–3 | O2.5 |
| 24.01.26 | Club Friendlies | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 21.09.25 | Allsvenskan | 1–3 | O2.5 |
| 03.05.25 | Allsvenskan | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 27.01.24 | Club Friendlies | 1–1 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service