Sheffield United arrive in round 7 with a chaotic recent record: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss across their last five, but not a single clean sheet in that run. Every game produced goals at both ends. Wolves are without five players through injury, including Trippier and Bellegarde, yet they have scored in all five of their last matches and carry a model-implied 41% win probability against a home side priced at 3.44.
The key numbers are straightforward. Sheffield Utd have registered BTTS in 5 of their last 5 outings. Wolves have done the same in 4 of their last 5. The model puts the probability of both teams scoring at 73%. Over 2.5 goals lands at 74% implied probability, and every single one of Sheffield Utd's last five games cleared that line.
BTTS YES at 1.62 (bet365) is the play. The defensive records of both sides make a blank sheet from either team highly unlikely. Wolves at 2.00 to win outright is the alternative for those who want to ride the away form.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 25.02.24 | Premier League | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 04.11.23 | Premier League | 2–1 | O2.5 |
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