The Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán hosts a Valencia side that has lost three of its last four La Liga matches and shipped nine goals in five recent outings. Five players are out injured for the visitors, including Guido Rodriguez and Umar Sadiq, stripping the squad of both defensive cover and attacking threat.
Sevilla have scored in all five of their last matches and have won two of their last four league games. The h2h record shows Sevilla have not won any of the last five meetings, but that Valencia have scored only twice across those five fixtures while Sevilla conceded four times, keeping one clean sheet. Valencia have scored in just 2 of their last 5 games.
The model gives Sevilla a 91% win probability. At 2.10 with bet365 that is a price worth grabbing. Valencia are a mess right now, short-handed and goalless in three of five recent outings. Sevilla at home, motivated and with a full squad, is the play.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 21.03.26 | La Liga | 0–2 | U2.5 |
| 07.12.25 | La Liga | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 11.04.25 | La Liga | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 11.01.25 | La Liga | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 17.02.24 | La Liga | 0–0 | U2.5 |
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