The Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán is buzzing after two straight La Liga wins to open the season, Sevilla looking sharp and confident. But Atletico Madrid arrive as a side that has scored in all 5 of their last matches, and with Diego Simeone's squad carrying that familiar siege mentality, a hostile atmosphere rarely intimidates them. Sorloth, Lemar and Romero are out for the visitors, yet the squad depth at Atleti is well known.
Sevilla have won 4 of their last 5 across all competitions, scoring 9 goals and conceding in 4 of those games. In five head-to-head meetings, Sevilla hold only 2 wins against 3 losses, with Atletico netting 10 goals to Sevilla's 7. Atletico are priced at 2.10 on the road, which looks generous given the h2h record and a model that still gives them a 24% win probability.
This is a big price for a team that won 3-0 at Sevilla just last November. I back Atletico Madrid to win at 2.10. It swings, but the value is real.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 11.04.26 | La Liga | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 01.11.25 | La Liga | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 06.04.25 | La Liga | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 08.12.24 | La Liga | 4–3 | O2.5 |
| 11.02.24 | La Liga | 1–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service