Matchday 4 in Serie A and Sassuolo host a Juventus side that has quietly built a wall on the road this season. The Neroverdi are an open, expressive team - good enough to beat Torino and draw at Bologna - but they leave gaps that punish them against elite opposition.
Juve arrive with 3 clean sheets in their last 5 games and have conceded in only 2 of those 5. Six absentees in their squad is a concern, yet the defensive structure has held firm. Sassuolo scored in only 3 of the last 5 head-to-heads and Juventus have outscored them 9-6 in that sample. The model puts Juve's win probability at 71 percent.
With Sassuolo wide open in attack but leaky at the back, Juve's discipline on the road makes them the play. Back Juventus to win at 1.62.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 21.03.26 | Serie A | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 06.01.26 | Serie A | 0–3 | O2.5 |
| 16.01.24 | Serie A | 3–0 | O2.5 |
| 23.09.23 | Serie A | 4–2 | O2.5 |
| 16.04.23 | Serie A | 1–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service