Boca Juniors arrive in São Paulo unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3W 2D), while the hosts have lost 3 of their last 5 and scored in only 2 of those games. The first leg, played at La Bombonera, ended 1-0 to Boca, giving them a precious away goal advantage heading into the return. São Paulo are also missing Moura Lucas and Marques Lucca, while Boca cope with a longer injury list but remain the stronger side on recent form. Boca have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 5 and conceded in only 3, underlining a defensive structure that São Paulo, who failed to score in the first leg, will struggle to break. The model points to Boca as the likelier winners. At 3.35-3.40, the away win offers clear value. Back Boca Juniors.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 09.09.26 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 1–0 | U2.5 |
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