Torreon hosts a side in sharp form. Santos Laguna are 2W-1D-2L across their last five Liga MX outings, and their defence has conceded in 4 of those 5 games, leaking 7 goals in the process. Pachuca arrive unbeaten in five, with 2 wins and 3 draws, and have kept 2 clean sheets while scoring in every single game of that run.
The head-to-head record tells its own story: Santos have won just 1 of the last 5 meetings, losing 3, with Pachuca netting 9 goals to Santos's 5 across those fixtures. Injured home players Bruno Amione and Lucas Di Yorio thin the Santos squad further, while Pachuca are missing only Alexei Dominguez. The model places Pachuca's win probability at 62 per cent, well above the implied 46 per cent in the 2.15 price.
Back Pachuca to win at 2.15. The away side is more solid, more clinical and carries a dominant head-to-head edge. That price is generous for a team this settled.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 12.04.26 | Liga MX | 4–2 | O2.5 |
| 10.11.25 | Liga MX | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 21.01.25 | Liga MX | 2–1 | O2.5 |
| 23.10.24 | Liga MX | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 21.04.24 | Liga MX | 0–2 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service