Santa Fe enter this Sudamericana last-16 tie in solid form: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss across their last 5 games, scoring in all 5 and keeping 3 clean sheets. River Plate, by contrast, have lost all 5 recent outings, conceding in every single one and scoring just 1 goal in total. Four key players are also absent on the away side: Portillo, Ramirez, Ruberto and Driussi.
The numbers are stark. Santa Fe have posted 10 goals for and only 4 against in their last 5. River Plate managed just 1 goal for and shipped 7 in the same window. BTTS landed in only 1 of River's last 5 games, and they failed to score in 4 of those 5. The model points firmly to a home win, backed by a depleted and misfiring away side.
The main tip is Santa Fe DNB. With no odds available the value sits in the selection itself. As an alternative, BTTS NO makes sense given River's near-total inability to score lately.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service