Sandefjord head into Round 13 with a mixed five-game run - two wins, one draw, two defeats - shipping six goals in the process. HamKam arrive in slightly better shape overall, unbeaten in their last three competitive and friendly outings, though their two most recent Eliteserien results were a win and a draw. Four injured players on the home side is a concern, while HamKam travel with only Anton Ekeroth absent.
The head-to-head ledger favours the visitors: Sandefjord have won just one of the last five meetings, losing three. In those five clashes, both teams scored in three games and only two ended with more than 2.5 goals. The model assigns Sandefjord a 39% chance of winning and HamKam 31%, with the draw at 31% - the market (1.90/3.70/3.65) sits close to those implied probabilities, leaving little obvious value on the 1X2.
The clearest angle here is the totals market. With the model at 67% for under 2.5 and the h2h averaging tight, Under 2.5 at 2.10-2.20 carries real value. For the match result, Sandefjord DNB at 1.40 is the safer play given home advantage and the model's 69% no-loss probability.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 02.11.25 | Eliteserien | 3–1 | O2.5 |
| 27.04.25 | Eliteserien | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 01.09.24 | Eliteserien | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 27.06.24 | Eliteserien | 1–2 | O2.5 |
| 08.10.23 | Eliteserien | 0–1 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service