San Marino arrive here winless in their last 5 matches (0W-1D-4L), conceding 13 goals and keeping just one clean sheet. Albania opened their Nations League campaign with a 2-0 home win over Belarus, and their last 5 games show a tight defensive unit: only 5 goals conceded, BTTS triggered just once.
The head-to-head record is unambiguous. In 2 previous meetings San Marino scored 0 goals and conceded 7, losing both fixtures. San Marino have scored in just 0 of those 2 h2h games. Albania kept a clean sheet in both. The market prices Albania at 1.05, implying near-certainty, and the data backs that up fully.
The model points straight to the away win. With San Marino conceding in 4 of their last 5 and Albania leaking just 5 goals across 5 recent games, this is a one-sided affair. Albania away at 1.05 is the play.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 08.09.21 | UEFA World Cup Qualifiers | 5–0 | O2.5 |
| 31.03.21 | UEFA World Cup Qualifiers | 0–2 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service