Two Buenos Aires neighbours, one fractured rivalry. San Lorenzo arrive at their own ground carrying three losses in their last five and a squad ravaged by five absentees, including Cerutti and Insaurralde. Huracan, meanwhile, have kept three clean sheets in their last five outings and come in without that weight of injury.
The head-to-head numbers are damning for the hosts. San Lorenzo have won zero of the last five meetings, scoring just 1 goal across those games while conceding 4. Huracan have taken the last two encounters - both without reply - and the model gives the visitors a 31 percent win probability against a home side rated at only 28 percent.
This is a derby where Huracan carry the momentum and San Lorenzo carry the scars. The 3.10 on offer for a Globo win is the bigger price the data justifies. My alt is BTTS NO at 1.40, backed by four BTTS-no results in the last five H2H meetings.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 08.02.26 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1–0 | U2.5 |
| 30.08.25 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0–0 | U2.5 |
| 23.02.25 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 20.07.24 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 24.02.24 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 0–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service