Sabah Baku arrive into this second leg having lost 1-2 in Denmark six days ago, yet their wider form reads four wins from five in Champions League qualifying. Aarhus travel here having conceded in four of their last five outings and with Tobias Molgaard and Nicolai Poulsen absent through injury, which thins their options going forward.
The numbers support a tight, low-scoring contest. Sabah kept three clean sheets in their last five matches and conceded in only two of those five. Aarhus, meanwhile, have gone BTTS in four of five recent games and scored in all five, so the Azerbaijanis cannot switch off entirely. Over 2.5 has landed in only two of Sabah's last five, pointing to a controlled home performance rather than a shootout.
At 1.48 (bet365), Sabah Draw No Bet is the call. They have the home advantage, a superior clean-sheet record, and Aarhus carry injuries in attack. The margin may be slim, but the direction looks clear enough to take the insurance price.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 05.08.26 | UEFA Champions League | 2–1 | O2.5 |
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