Rosario Central arrive at the Gigante de Arroyito off the back of a gutsy 1-0 win at River Plate, but their overall five-game run tells a cautious story: just 2 goals scored across those matches, 2 clean sheets kept, and BTTS landing only once. Aldosivi come into this Clausura Round 4 fixture with two straight Liga defeats and zero clean sheets in their last five outings, yet they have scored in 4 of those 5 games, so they carry a threat.
The numbers back a low-scoring affair. Central have gone over 2.5 in just 2 of their last 5 games and have kept BTTS to a single occurrence. Aldosivi's last five show only 2 over-2.5 results as well. The only head-to-head on record ended 1-1, under the total. Under 2.5 is priced at 1.53, which represents genuine value given both squads' recent scoring frugality.
Central are short favourites at 1.50 but their attack has misfired badly, scoring in just 2 of 5 recent outings. Injuries to Gaspar Duarte and Marco Ruben thin their forward options further. Back Under 2.5 goals at 1.53 - a price the defensive numbers on both sides fully justify.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 07.02.26 | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1–1 | U2.5 |
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