Rennes arrive in mixed form, winning 2 of their last 5 across all competitions but shipping 6 goals in that span. Auxerre look livelier in attack, scoring in all 5 of their recent outings and racking up 9 goals, though their defence has been equally porous with 10 conceded. Four Auxerre players are sidelined, which may blunt their press but their attacking intent remains clear.
Two inputs drive the model to 84% on Over 2.5: Auxerre have gone over 2.5 in 4 of their last 5 matches, and the head-to-head record shows 3 of the last 5 meetings between these sides also cleared that bar. Rennes have kept just 2 clean sheets in 5 recent games, and Auxerre have scored in every one of theirs. BTTS sits at 76% probability, reinforcing the goal-heavy picture. Bet365 prices Over 2.5 at 1.50.
The model is unambiguous: this is a high-scoring fixture. Over 2.5 goals at 1.50 is the main play. For extra bite, BTTS YES at 1.67 is the alternative, supported by Auxerre scoring in each of their last 5 and Rennes conceding in 3 of their last 5.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 22.02.26 | Ligue 1 | 0–3 | O2.5 |
| 19.10.25 | Ligue 1 | 2–2 | O2.5 |
| 06.04.25 | Ligue 1 | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 03.11.24 | Ligue 1 | 4–0 | O2.5 |
| 11.03.23 | Ligue 1 | 0–0 | U2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service