Round 29 in the Brazilian Serie A, and Remo walk into this one as a side that has forgotten how to win. Five straight defeats, zero clean sheets, ten goals conceded - this is a squad running on empty. Gremio arrive battered too, but they have at least picked up a win and a draw in their last five, and Dodi is the only confirmed absentee.
The numbers tell a grim story for the hosts. Remo have conceded in all 5 of their last matches and kept zero clean sheets. Gremio scored in 3 of their last 5. The one head-to-head on record this season ended 0-0, but that came when both sides were in better shape. Model probability gives Gremio a 33% chance - the 3.00 price at bet365 is almost spot on, yet Remo's collapse makes the visitors the value call.
Gremio at 3.00 is the play. A side that has shipped 10 goals in five games, earned zero points, and faces a visitor with nothing to lose is ripe for an upset. Back Gremio to win.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 06.04.26 | Serie A | 0–0 | U2.5 |
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