Recoleta arrive at this second leg in deep trouble. They lost the first leg 1-3 to Boca in Asuncion and have won just 2 of their last 5 games, conceding 12 goals in that run with zero clean sheets. Their form is open and chaotic: all 5 recent matches produced BTTS and went over 2.5 goals. Boca, meanwhile, are unbeaten in their last 5 outings (W2 D3) and have scored in every one of them. The key numbers here: Recoleta have conceded in all 5 of their last matches, and Boca have scored in all 5 of theirs. With a two-goal aggregate lead to protect, Boca will not need to chase the game, but their attacking quality is enough to punish a Recoleta side that cannot keep a clean sheet. The model points firmly to Boca to win this tie. At these stakes, back Boca on the double chance to cover any wobble.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 12.08.26 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana | 3–1 | O2.5 |
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