The Reale Arena is a fortress in name only right now. Real Sociedad have won just once in their last five outings, conceding in all five, and their only La Liga home win this round came against Espanyol by a single goal. Celta Vigo arrive with two straight La Liga defeats, scoring in just 3 of their last 5 games and missing striker Borja Iglesias.
The head-to-head numbers are tight but lean Sociedad's way at home: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses across the last 5 meetings, with the most recent home clash ending 3-1 to the hosts. The model puts the home win probability at 54% and away win at only 12%. Celta have kept just 1 clean sheet in 5 recent games and conceded in 4 of those 5.
Sociedad are vulnerable but Celta look toothless on the road. Draw No Bet on Sociedad at 1.42 gives you a safety net if this grinds level, and with the visitors' attack misfiring all month, the home side should edge it. Take the DNB Home at 1.42.
The numbers behind the tip
Form · last five
Goals per game · last five
Head-to-head · last five
| 25.01.26 | La Liga | 3–1 | O2.5 |
| 19.10.25 | La Liga | 1–1 | U2.5 |
| 13.05.25 | La Liga | 0–1 | U2.5 |
| 21.12.24 | La Liga | 2–0 | U2.5 |
| 23.01.24 | Copa del Rey | 1–2 | O2.5 |
Predictions are editorial opinions based on the data available at publication - never a guarantee. Odds move and availability varies by region. 18+, please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org · Joueurs Info Service